Sector

Consumer Defensive stocks

77 companies, grouped by industry. 52 have a valuation: for those we show how the share price compares with the fair value from a reverse-DCF model (growth at the 3-year revenue growth).

Beverages—Brewers 3

  • Constellation Brands (STZ) · over 200% above model fair value

    Q3 2026, 2026-10-07: Constellation Brands expects beer operating margins to be between 34.5% and 35.5% in the second half of the year.

  • IBC Polska F&p SA (IBC)

    Q2 2026, 2026-08-14: IBC EUROSERWIS is developing a separate pricing offer, warehouse organization, and customer service system for the long-term sale of syrups and equipment while continuing talks regarding the "Zielona HoReCa" project.

  • Molson Coors Beverage Company (TAP) · 72% above model fair value

    Q2 2026, 2026-08-06: Heightened promotional activity and the World Cup contributed to the volume performance across EMEA and APAC markets in the second quarter.

Beverages—Non-Alcoholic 6

  • Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) · 117% above model fair value

    Q2 2026, 2026-08-06: KDP updated its guidance to expect net sales between $25.9 billion and $26.4 billion, including an $8.5 billion to $8.7 billion contribution from JDE…

  • Krynica Vitamin SA (KVT)

    Q1 2026, 2026-05-14

  • Monster Beverage (MNST) · 2% below model fair value

    Q2 2026, 2026-08-06: Monster Beverage reported that net sales in China increased 62.5% in USD and 54% on a local currency basis in the second quarter of 2026.

  • PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP) · over 200% above model fair value

    Q3 2026, 2026-10-08: PepsiCo views 100-calorie and 120-calorie packs as critical for the future because that business is already over $3 billion.

  • Primo Brands (PRMB) · 45% above model fair value

    Q2 2026, 2026-08-05: Primo Brands reaffirmed its adjusted EBITDA guidance of $1.465 billion to $1.515 billion and increased its growth guidance from 1% to 3% to 2% to 4%.

  • The Coca-Cola Company (KO) · over 200% above model fair value

    Q3 2026, 2026-10-27: The Coca-Cola Company increased its guidance for comparable earnings per share growth to at least 11% compared to $3 in 2025.

Beverages—Wineries & Distilleries 2

  • Ambra SA (AMB) · 10% above model fair value

    Q3 2026, 2026-05-07: The Group's organic growth reached 3.9% after excluding the effect of the acquisition, which is expected to translate into increased value for…

  • Diageo (DGE)

    Q1 2026, 2026-06-01

Confectioners 3

  • Mondelez International (MDLZ) · 101% above model fair value

    Q1 2026, 2026-04-28: Mondelez International is well covered for oil and packaging costs through 2027, but costs in certain regulated markets will materialize as a headwind for the remainder of the year.

  • The Hershey Company (HSY) · 58% above model fair value

    Q2 2026, 2026-07-30: The company expects to see really good growth on a 2-year basis and is well-positioned to deliver growth in the second half despite tougher…

  • Wawel SA (WWL)

    Q2 2026, 2026-08-21: Wawel SA sold all shares held in its associate company PSA Lasoszczi in February 2026.

Discount Stores 8

  • BJ's Wholesale Club (BJ) · over 200% above model fair value

    Q4 2026, 2026-03-05: The company set a daily record for gas volume that was 20% higher in the days leading up to the storm.

  • Costco (COST) · 127% above model fair value

    Q3 2026, 2026-09-24: Costco's digitally enabled sales, including third-party delivery, exceeded $33 billion, representing an increase of more than 20%.

  • Dollar General (DG) · 5% below model fair value

    Q4 2026, 2026-03-12: Dollar General's gross margin expanded 62 basis points this quarter and 107 basis points for the full year as shrink reduction efforts boosted…

  • Dollar Tree (DLTR) · 32% above model fair value

    Q4 2026, 2026-03-16: DLTR expects diluted earnings per share of $6.50 to $6.90 for the year, consistent with its Investor Day framework and representing high-teens…

  • Ollie's Bargain Outlet (OLLI) · 11% below model fair value

    Q4 2026, 2026-03-12: New memberships in the Ollie's Army loyalty program increased 23% and the total customer file increased by more than 12%, expanding the company's…

  • Pepco Group NV (PCO) · 43% above model fair value

    H1 2026, 2026-05-21: Pepco Group NV expects to open at least 600 new stores in Western Europe between FY27-FY30, doubling its regional presence due to increased confidence in store economics.

  • Target Corporation (TGT) · over 200% above model fair value

    Q2 2026, 2026-08-19: Target+ marketplace GMV and Target Circle 360 membership revenue both grew more than 40% compared to last year.

  • Walmart (WMT) · over 200% above model fair value

    Q2 2026, 2026-08-20: Walmart raised its fiscal year sales guidance to 4% to 5% from the previous range of 3.5% to 4.5%.

Education & Training Services 2

  • ATA Creativity Global (AACG)

    Q4 2025, 2026-03-25: Excluding the one-time goodwill impairment charge, total operating expenses decreased by 15.7% from the fourth quarter of 2024 to the fourth quarter…

  • Grand Canyon Education (LOPE) · 15% below model fair value

    Q2 2026, 2026-07-30: GCU has invested over $2 billion in the campus.

Farm Products 8

  • ALICO, Inc. (ALCO) · over 200% above model fair value

    Q2 2026, 2026-08-11: The transaction validates the land monetization strategy by securing recurring contracted lease income and establishing a $9,000 per acre price that…

  • Archer Daniels Midland (ADM) · over 200% above model fair value

  • Astarta SA (AST) · over 200% above model fair value

    Q2 2026, 2026-08-27: Astarta SA's consolidated EBITDA fell 58% year-over-year to EUR34m, resulting in an EBITDA margin of 15% down from 36% last year.

  • Bunge Global (BG) · over 200% above model fair value

    Q2 2026, 2026-07-29: Discretionary cash flow fell to $435 million from $530 million in the first quarter, trimming cash available for dividends and growth investments.

  • Gobarto SA (GOB)

    Q2 2026, 2026-08-26: In Q2 2026, Gobarto SA reported revenue of PLN 931.9 million, a 5.7% year-over-year decrease, and a net loss of PLN 8.0 million.

  • Industrial Milk Company SA (IMC)

    Q2 2026, 2026-08-27: Industrial Milk Company SA reported Q2 2026 revenue of USD 88.9 million, operating income of USD 40.0 million, and net income of USD 34.3 million.

  • KSG Agro SA (KSG)

    Q2 2026, 2026-08-19: KSG Agro SA specifically orders training support when mastering new equipment and technologies to focus on operational support for new technology adoption.

  • Tyson Foods (TSN) · 196% above model fair value

    Q2 2026, 2026-08-03: Prepared Foods raised guidance to a $1.3 billion to $1.35 billion range following a third straight quarter of volume and share growth.

Food Distribution 4

  • Atlanta Poland SA (ATP)

    Q3 2026, 2026-05-29

  • Performance Food Group (PFGC) · 23% above model fair value

    Q2 2026, 2026-08-12: The PFG brand portfolio grew faster than the overall business and represented approximately 54% of cases sold to independent restaurants.

  • Sysco (SYY) · 125% above model fair value

    Q2 2026, 2026-08-04: Supply chain expenses grew at a slower rate than revenue and gross profits, contributing to a 4.1% increase in adjusted operating profit and improved…

  • US Foods (USFD) · 117% above model fair value

    Q2 2026, 2026-08-06: US Foods' second quarter adjusted EBITDA grew 10.2% to a record $604 million, driven by volume growth and continuous improvement efforts to increase gross margin.

Grocery Stores 5

  • Ahold Delhaize (AD) · over 200% above model fair value

  • Dino Polska SA (DNP) · 6% above model fair value

    H1 2026, 2026-08-20: Dino Polska increased its number of stores by 904, or 40%, over the three-year period ending June 30, 2026.

  • Eurocash SA (EUR)

    Q2 2026, 2026-08-27: Eurocash SA reported a surplus of short-term liabilities over current assets of 1.97 billion PLN as of June 30, 2025.

  • Sprouts Farmers Market (SFM) · 57% below model fair value

    Q2 2026, 2026-07-29: SFM updated third-quarter guidance to expect comp sales between negative 0.5% and positive 1.5% and diluted earnings per share between $1.20 and…

  • Żabka Group SA (ZAB)

Household & Personal Products 13

  • 4Mass SA (4MS)

    FY 2025, 2026-04-27: Net proceeds from product sales reached the reported amount, which is the primary driver of the company's revenue for the quarter.

  • Church & Dwight (CHD) · 66% above model fair value

    Q2 2026, 2026-07-31: In the second quarter, MISS MOUTH's consumption grew over 50% and the brand gained almost 3.5 share points.

  • Clorox (CLX) · 120% above model fair value

    Q2 2026, 2026-08-03: As Clorox set this budget with its Board, it took the exact same principled approach it has taken every year, which is looking at the external…

  • Colgate-Palmolive (CL) · 185% above model fair value

    Q2 2026, 2026-07-31: CL's free cash flow rose 18% through the second quarter.

  • COSMA SA (COS)

    Q2 2026, 2026-08-14: COSMA SA committed as a purchaser to enter into preliminary purchase agreements for a total of 205 Lova shares from the Current Shareholders.

  • Delko SA (DEL) · 54% below model fair value

    Q2 2026, 2026-03-27: Wholesale sales of household chemicals, cosmetics, and pharmaceutical products saw a decline compared to the previous period.

  • Dr. Miele Cosmed Group SA (DMG) · 28% below model fair value

    Q1 2026, 2026-05-28

  • Kenvue (KVUE) · 189% above model fair value

    Q2 2025, 2025-08-07: Kenvue provided a full year adjusted diluted EPS guidance range of $1 to $1.05, which includes a low single-digit drag from currency.

  • Kimberly-Clark (KMB) · over 200% above model fair value

    Q2 2026, 2026-08-06: Kimberly-Clark gained share in 70% of its North American sales base over the trailing 12-month period.

  • Miraculum SA (MIR)

    H1 2026, 2026-09-11: Miraculum SA entered into several agreements with related entities on market terms between January 1, 2026, and June 30, 2026.

  • Procter & Gamble (PG) · 132% above model fair value

    Q3 2026, 2026-10-22: Procter & Gamble expects to return 15 billion dollars of cash to shareholders in fiscal 2027 through over 10 billion dollars in dividends and approximately five billion dollars in stock repurchases.

  • Reckitt Benckiser (RKT)

    Q2 2026, 2026-08-06: RKT updated its guidance to expect expenses of approximately $2.35 billion at the midpoint, which informs investors of the projected cost structure.

  • The Estée Lauder Companies (EL) · 187% above model fair value

    Q2 2026, 2026-08-19: The Estée Lauder Companies updated its fiscal 2027 guidance to expect organic net sales growth in the range of 3% to 5% due to diversified growth across product categories and regions.

Packaged Foods 20

  • Bio Planet SA (BIP)

    Q1 2026, 2026-05-26: The company faces a risk of large specialty chains selling organic food entering the Polish market.

  • Danone (BN) · over 200% above model fair value

    Q2 2025, 2025-08-07: Distributed earnings before realizations increased 13% year-over-year to $1.3 billion.

  • Eurosnack SA (ECK)

    Q2 2026, 2026-08-14: Eurosnack SA's cereal chips production facility obtained a BIO certificate from the certifying body BIOCERT Małopolska.

  • FoodHub SA (FHB.WA)

    Q1 2026, 2026-05-28: Sales in specialized stores, fuel for motor vehicles at stations, and retail of small metal products are reported as revenue drivers for the period.

  • General Mills (GIS) · over 200% above model fair value

    Q3 2026, 2026-09-23: General Mills expects a low single-digit headwind from inventory this year as the customer mix shifts toward customers who maintain lower inventory levels.

  • Helio SA (HEL)

    Q3 2026, 2026-05-29: The company notes that sales results for the third quarter of the 2025/2026 fiscal year must be considered in the context of a high base from…

  • Hipromine SA (HPM)

    Q2 2026, 2026-08-14: In Q2 2026, Hipromine SA reported revenue of PLN 8.0 million, an increase of 72.2% year over year, while the net income loss widened to PLN 25.3 million.

  • Hormel Foods (HRL) · over 200% above model fair value

    Q2 2026, 2026-08-27: Hormel Foods lowered its full-year organic net sales growth expectation to a range of 1% to 2% from its previous range.

  • Ingredion (INGR) · 83% above model fair value

    Q2 2026, 2026-08-04: Ingredion delivered a second quarter performance in line with expectations driven by momentum in Texture & Healthful.

  • Kraft Heinz (KHC) · 67% above model fair value

    Q2 2026, 2026-08-07: You have seen that Kraft Heinz has paid down $1.9 billion of debt in the quarter.

  • Lamb Weston (LW) · 1% below model fair value

    Q2 2026, 2026-07-24: The company reported $1.3 billion available under its revolving credit facility and net debt of $3.8 billion to maintain liquidity.

  • Makarony Polskie SA (MAK)

    Q1 2026, 2026-05-22

  • McCormick & Company (MKC) · 159% above model fair value

    Q3 2026, 2026-10-01: A packaging material supply constraint in Consumer Americas may reduce total McCormick & Company volume growth by up to 1 point in the fourth quarter.

  • Pepees SA (PPS)

    Q1 2026, 2026-05-15

  • Pilgrim's Pride (PPC) · 19% above model fair value

    Q2 2026, 2026-07-30: PPC is driving growth projects to strengthen its portfolio, while firm chicken demand in the U.S. retail and foodservice sectors drove growth in meat…

  • Post Holdings (POST) · 34% below model fair value

    Q2 2026, 2026-08-07: The company adjusted its fiscal 2026 outlook by approximately $80 million for items affecting comparability to ensure a comparable transition into…

  • Smithfield Foods (SFD) · 28% above model fair value

    Q2 2026, 2026-08-11: Smithfield Foods reported a record first-half adjusted operating profit of $638 million, up 2% from the prior year.

  • Tarczyński SA (TAR)

    Q2 2026, 2026-09-17: In Q2 2026, Tarczyński SA reported revenue of PLN 545.6 million, operating income of PLN 34.7 million, and net income of PLN 9.9 million.

  • The J.M. Smucker Company (SJM) · 72% above model fair value

    Q2 2026, 2026-08-26: The J.M. Smucker Company revised its outlook to mid-single digits for the total company and total venture following the addition of Uncrustables.

  • ZPC Otmuchów SA (OTM)

    Q1 2026, 2026-06-01: Profit from the sale of fixed assets and the profit from the sale of ZCP by a subsidiary formed a key position in the remaining operating activities.

Tobacco 3

  • Altria (MO) · 99% above model fair value

    Q2 2026, 2026-07-30: Narrowing guidance will require additional investment in the second half.

  • British American Tobacco (BATS)

  • Philip Morris International (PM) · 76% above model fair value

    Q3 2026, 2026-10-21: Philip Morris International expects to generate a record level of approximately $13.5 billion in operating cash flow.

Fair value is the output of a simplified model computed automatically, not a recommendation or price target. Methodology

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