KMB US S&P 500Russell 1000 Earnings call
Kimberly-Clark (KMB) · Q2 2026 results and valuation
Share price: $108.86 · 2026-11-11
Kimberly-Clark manufactures and markets a wide range of products made from natural or synthetic fibers, including baby, adult, feminine, and family care products. The company sells these goods to retail outlets and professional customers in more than 175 countries and territories. Source: 10-K annual report (2026-02-12)
Results Q2 2026 vs Q1 2026 · previous quarter · published 6 Aug 2026 and 28 Apr 2026
Net income down 48.1% on the previous quarter. Management sounded cautious, in its script and in answers to analysts.
1 · Numbers
−48.1%
Net income vs Q1 2026
Outlook given
Net income 345.0M vs 665.0M
Revenue +0.6%
Against the same quarter last year (Q2 2025) it is −32.2%, so it is not just seasonal.
2 · How management spoke
Cautious
Among the least upbeat of all company calls
Answers to analysts: typical, in line with the script.
Last call it was different: the answers were less upbeat than the script.
3 · What stood out
Kimberly-Clark gained share in 70% of its North American sales base over the trailing 12-month period.
Valuation
Is Kimberly-Clark undervalued?
Reverse DCF. Free cash flow from the last full fiscal year (2025-12-31), grown for 10 years, discounted back, plus a terminal value. “Implied growth” is the rate the current price assumes.
At −6.6% growth a year (3-year revenue growth), the model's fair value is $17.66 a share — the stock trades 517% above it. Today's price assumes 11.1% growth a year.
Current price
$108.86
close of 2026-11-11
Market implies growth of iThe yearly free-cash-flow growth, for the next 10 years, that today’s share price already assumes. If you believe the company grows faster than this, the stock is cheap under this model; slower, and it is expensive.
+11.1% for 10 yrs
Fair value / share
$17.66
Buy below
$13.24
Price vs fair value
Overvalued >200%
Price vs buy-below price
Overvalued >200%
Read between the lines
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Guidance
KMB expects roughly $70 million of headwind in operating profit for the back half, which will be split roughly half and half.
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Guidance
Management stated that the factors causing the lower stand-alone 2026 earnings outlook do not materially change the underlying earnings potential of the stand-alone businesses or the combined company.
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Figure
The company gained share in 70% of its North American sales base over the trailing 12-month period.
Source quote
“The trailing 12-month share, we've gained share in 70% of our sales base in North America.”
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Key theme
The program aims to reduce exposure to natural forest fiber cost volatility and advance the company's natural forest fiber-free ambition to strengthen long-term growth trajectory.
Source quote
“We believe the program will enhance product performance for consumers, strengthen our long-term growth trajectory, reduce exposure to natural forest fiber cost volatility and advance our natural forest fiber-free ambition.”
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Figure
KMB delivered its 10th consecutive quarter of solid volume plus mix performance, maintaining global weighted share and industry-leading gross productivity.
Source quote
“We delivered our 10th consecutive quarter of solid volume plus mix performance, held global weighted share, posted another quarter of industry-leading gross productivity and continued to invest for impact.”
4 more
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Key theme
Execution on a tariff refund received in the second quarter drove better-than-expected operating profit growth and EPS performance.
Source quote
“However, strong execution on the tariff refund that we received in the second quarter drove the better-than-expected and solid operating profit growth and EPS performance in the quarter.”
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Figure
This is primarily due to the tariff refund benefit and the really solid productivity Kimberly-Clark delivered in the quarter, which was 6.4%, which both more than offset the higher levels of brand investment year-over-year.
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Guidance
The company remains confident that the second half outlook will grow in line with its categories despite the elements Nelson experienced.
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Guidance
KMB expects to offset incremental costs through mitigation actions and tariff refunds to maintain pricing net of cost inflation at roughly neutral levels for the full year.
Tone
How upbeat the language was, compared with other companiesiTone counts positive minus negative finance words, adjusted for length. Executives mostly speak positively, so the labels compare each call with every company's latest call: “typical” is the middle third, “very upbeat” the top tenth, “cautious” the bottom tenth.. Dot: Q2 2026. Ring: Q1 2026.
Script and answers carried a similar tone, so the script's message held up under questioning.
Sentences that drove the tone
“And if you look at the share in the quarter, the majority of the weighted average share decline was driven by that club distribution loss, which we talked about previously...”
“And so it has the potential for us to enhance margins and then, obviously, Michael, further reduce volatility.”
“I think it was it was a 50 basis point headwind in 2Q, the guidance assumed a 100 basis point headwind for the year.”
Full figures
USD · SEC EDGAR XBRL (10-Q, period end 2026-06-30)
| Metric | Q2 2026period end 2026-06-30 | Q1 2026period end 2026-03-31 | Change | Q2 2025 | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 4.19B | 4.16B | +0.6% | 4.16B | +0.6% |
| Gross profit | 1.60B | 1.53B | +4.5% | 1.46B | +10.1% |
| Operating income | 633.0M | 753.0M | −15.9% | 592.0M | +6.9% |
| Net income | 345.0M | 665.0M | −48.1% | 509.0M | −32.2% |
| EPS | 1.04 | 2.00 | −48.0% | 1.53 | −32.0% |
| P/E today 10.9 | 18.7 | 15.1 | +3.6 | 17.8 | +0.9 |
Topics
Most discussed now
- New Kimberly-Clark is focused on developing compelling value propositions at every tier every day
- Russ will chime in on why its conviction in the acceleration of the business as Kimberly-Clark goes through Q3 and...
- New Distribution center fire would represent a headwind of around 80 basis points to top line...
- New Kimberly-Clark is delivering superior science-backed innovation and value propositions around the world through its proven repeatable…
- New Yesterday, Kimberly-Clark unveiled a proprietary alternative natural fiber innovation program, which has the potential to reshape the…
Faded since Q1 2026
- Fading The supplemental materials posted at investor.Kimberly-clark.com
- Fading In the first quarter, innovation helped fuel Kimberly-Clark's delivery of solid organic sales growth with volume plus mix growth…
- Fading The 1 thing I will say is that the underlying assumption Kimberly-Clark is making is that it knows what the cost...
Latest announcements
Official filings, newest first. Summaries are generated from each filing and its attachment; every figure is checked against the source.
- Results of operations · SEC 8-K
- Material agreement; New financial obligation; Change to shareholder rights; Other events · SEC 8-K
- Acquisition or disposal; Restructuring costs; Director or officer change; Articles or bylaws amended; Regulation FD disclosure · SEC 8-K
- Material agreement; New financial obligation; Other events · SEC 8-K
- Other events · SEC 8-K
- Other events · SEC 8-K
- Results of operations; Regulation FD disclosure · SEC 8-K
Kimberly-Clark reported preliminary 2026 results with organic sales growth expected to be 100 basis points below its weighted average category growth of 1.7 percent.
- Other events · SEC 8-K
Kimberly-Clark received sufficient consents and early tenders for the exchange of Kenvue Notes for up to $7 billion in new notes and cash.
Catalyst calendar
management-stated targets — from the latest earnings call; plans, not promises.
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over the next few months
provide an update on the overall view for 2027 and beyond
Source quote
“As we get closer to the close of the transaction and we have further clarity on all these moving items over the next few months, we will provide an update on the overall view for 2027 and beyond.”
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the second half
scaling innovations and revenue growth management actions
Source quote
“And in the second half, we'll be scaling those innovations and we've got some very good activation planning as well as some revenue growth management actions coming.”
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the next 3 years
confidence in the future based on quality of consumer insights and the Powering Care matrix
Source quote
“You may have recalled our Chief R&D Officer, Craig Slavtcheff talking about the pipeline development and that's one of the reasons why we're very confident as we can see into the future, the next 3 years, and the quality of our consumer insights has gotten better and then the Powering Care matrix has really enabled us to scale innovations around the world much more quickly.”
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in '25
promotion activity was below both pre-COVID levels and the category
Source quote
“And in fact, in '25, our promo activity was below both pre-COVID levels and the category.”
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through the first half of '26
promotional levels were down versus the prior year and the category in the majority of our categories
Source quote
“And through the first half of '26, our promotional levels were down versus the prior year and the category in the majority of our categories.”