Energy stocks

ANTERO RESOURCES Corp (AR) · 79% above model fair value

Q2 2026, 2026-07-30: The fleet size is projected to increase by 31% or 138 ships from now through 2029.

APA Corporation (APA) · 42% below model fair value

ConocoPhillips (COP) · over 200% above model fair value

Q2 2026, 2026-08-06: ConocoPhillips expects a free cash flow inflection point to culminate with Willow in 2029.

Devon Energy (DVN) · over 200% above model fair value

Q2 2026, 2026-08-05: Devon Energy completed its $1.25 billion debt reduction target for 2026 following a strong operational beat in the quarter.

Diamondback Energy (FANG) · 133% above model fair value

Q2 2026, 2026-08-03: Diamondback Energy is hitting its stretch goal of drilling wells at $300 a foot, which is lower than the original budget of $350 to $360 a foot.

EOG Resources (EOG) · 6% above model fair value

Q2 2026, 2026-08-05: EOG expects to deliver 5% oil production growth and 14% total production growth for the full year 2026 with capital expenditures unchanged at $6.5 billion.

EQT Corporation (EQT) · 15% below model fair value

Q2 2026, 2026-07-22: EQT raised its 2026 production guidance by 90 Bcfe and lowered full year CapEx by $25 million due to operational execution leading to sustained production outperformance.

Expand Energy (EXE) · 10% above model fair value

Q3 2026, 2026-10-27: Expand Energy allocated $305 million to share repurchases in the third quarter, which is more than any of its peers this year.

Occidental Petroleum (OXY) · over 200% above model fair value

Q2 2026, 2026-08-06: Occidental Petroleum expects continued debt reduction to lower principal debt to a $10 billion milestone and reduce annual interest expense by roughly $740 million compared to last year.

Ovintiv (OVV) · over 200% above model fair value

Q2 2026, 2026-07-24: Net debt fell below $3 billion at the end of the quarter, marking the lowest leverage the company has had in over a decade.

Range Resources (RRC) · over 200% above model fair value

Q2 2026, 2026-07-22: Waterborne ethane exports reached 658,000 barrels per day in the second quarter, which is up 40% year-on-year.

Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) · 158% above model fair value

Q2 2026, 2026-08-06: The metric reached a quarterly all-time high, marking a 4% sequential increase and a 31% increase year-over-year.

Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. (AESI)

Q2 2026, 2026-08-03: Atlas has built over $1 billion worth of infrastructure projects, including many of the lowest-cost mining facilities in the West, reinforcing its…

Baker Hughes (BKR) · 12% above model fair value

Q3 2026, 2026-10-27: Baker Hughes raised its full-year orders guidance to $21.5 billion to $23.5 billion, supported by $18 billion in year-to-date IET orders and ongoing capacity expansions.

Halliburton (HAL) · 55% above model fair value

Q3 2026, 2026-10-20: Halliburton expects operating income margins to expand by approximately 200 basis points to reach 15% due to core business improvements, new work, cost reductions, and the ramp down of S4.

NOV Inc. (NOV) · 54% below model fair value

Q2 2026, 2026-07-29: Adjusted operating profit reached $190 million, or 9% of sales, which included a $40 million benefit from AIPA tariff refunds.

ProFrac Holding Corp. (ACDC) · over 200% above model fair value

Q2 2026, 2026-08-06: ACDC prices fell roughly 40% from their Q2 peak to a low before rallying back, highlighting significant volatility for investors.

Schlumberger (SLB) · 13% below model fair value

Q2 2026, 2026-07-24: Free cash flow expected to be materially higher in the second half than the first half, consistent with historical trends.

Weatherford International (WFRD) · 3% below model fair value

Q2 2026, 2026-07-22: Proposals to redomesticate to Texas received support from more than 60% of the votes at the June 11th shareholder meetings.

BP (BP) · over 200% above model fair value

Q4 2025, 2026-02-10: The reserves replacement ratio rose to 90% from an average of around 50% after the company started up 7 major projects.

Chevron Corporation (CVX) · over 200% above model fair value

Energoinstal SA (ENI)

Q2 2026, 2026-09-10: In Q2 2026, Energoinstal SA reported revenue of PLN 21.5 million, operating income of PLN -1.9 million, and net income of PLN -2.1 million.

ExxonMobil (XOM) · over 200% above model fair value

Q2 2026, 2026-07-31: Exxon Mobil reported earnings of $14.5 billion despite a temporary loss of approximately 10% of upstream production.

National Fuel Gas (NFG) · over 200% above model fair value

Q2 2026, 2026-07-30: The company expects to generate between $1 billion and $1.5 billion of free cash flow while achieving its growth targets.

Orlen SA (PKN) · 30% above model fair value

H1 2026, 2026-08-06: The CEE petrochemical margin indicator improved by 80 EUR/t year-over-year to 248 EUR/t because product price growth exceeded the cost increases of naphtha and natural gas.

Antero Midstream Corp (AM) · 76% above model fair value

Q2 2026, 2026-07-30: AM exited the quarter with leverage in the low three-times despite a $1.1 billion acquisition and share repurchases.

Cheniere Energy (LNG) · over 200% above model fair value

Q2 2026, 2026-08-06: Cheniere Energy increased its full-year 2026 guidance to $7.9 billion to $8.4 billion of consolidated adjusted EBITDA and $5.3 billion to $5.8 billion of DCF.

Kinder Morgan (KMI) · over 200% above model fair value

Q3 2026, 2026-10-21: Kinder Morgan expects the $14.4 billion project backlog to generate $2.5 billion of additional EBITDA.

Oneok (OKE) · 24% above model fair value

Q2 2026, 2026-08-04: Oneok expects approximately $2.6 billion in cumulative cash tax benefits based on its latest analysis, compared with the approximately $1.5 billion previously discussed.

Targa Resources (TRGP) · over 200% above model fair value

Q2 2026, 2026-08-06: Targa Resources raised its full year 2026 adjusted EBITDA forecast to the top end of the $5.7 billion to $5.9 billion range.

Williams Companies (WMB) · over 200% above model fair value

Q2 2026, 2026-08-03: Williams Companies raised its full-year 2026 EBITDA guidance by $200 million at the midpoint and increased its long-term EBITDA growth rate target to 11-plus percent compound annual growth through 2030.

Marathon Petroleum (MPC) · over 200% above model fair value

Q2 2026, 2026-08-04: Investments are expected to support 12.5% annual distribution growth for Marathon Petroleum in 2026 and 2027.

Phillips 66 (PSX) · over 200% above model fair value

Q2 2026, 2026-08-05: PSX ended the quarter with total debt of $20.6 billion and net debt of $16.5 billion, affecting financial flexibility.

Valero Energy (VLO) · over 200% above model fair value

Q3 2026, 2026-10-22: Valero expects capital investments for 2026 to be approximately $2 billion.

Bumech SA (BMC)

Q2 2026, 2026-07-28: The original value of the portfolio of granted CHF contracts (sum of tranches paid out to clients) taking into account the exchange rate on the date…

Coal Energy SA (CLE)

Q3 2026, 2026-06-29: Revenue reached US$1,231 thousand for 9M FY2024, a 145.6% year-over-year increase driven by the launch of a new mining business segment.

JSW (JSW)

H1 2026, 2026-05-19: JSW management plans to obtain 2.89 billion PLN over 12 years through three loan agreements to fund restructuring activities.

LW Bogdanka SA (LWB) · 38% below model fair value

Q2 2026, 2026-09-10: LW Bogdanka SA coal production increased to 2.4 billion tons in the second quarter, representing a 4.3% increase of million tons and an 11.1% increase compared to the previous period.