CB US S&P 500Russell 1000 Earnings call · transcribed from the recording

Chubb Limited (CB) · Q3 2026 results and valuation

Share price: $370.33 · 2026-11-11

Results Q3 2026 vs Q1 2026 · previous quarter · published 20 Oct 2026 and 22 Apr 2026

Management sounded about as positive as a typical company call, in its script and in answers to analysts.

⚠️ The latest available report (Q3_2026) is more than six months after the previous one (Q1_2026). The comparison is against a stale baseline.

1 · Numbers

—

Figures not yet filed

Outlook given

2 · How management spoke

Typical

More upbeat than 51% of company calls

Answers to analysts: restrained, in line with the script.

Similar to last call.

3 · What stood out

Chubb Limited returned $1.6 billion in capital to shareholders for the quarter, consisting of $1.2 billion in share repurchases and $393 million in dividends.

Valuation

Is Chubb Limited undervalued?

Reverse DCF on net income from the last full fiscal year (no meaningful free cash flow: a bank, insurer or a year of negative cash flow) (2025-12-31), grown for 10 years, discounted back, plus a terminal value. “Implied growth” is the rate the current price assumes.

At 10.0% growth a year (3-year revenue growth), the model's fair value is $604.94 a share — the stock trades 39% below it. Today's price assumes 2.8% growth a year.

Current price

$370.33

close of 2026-11-11

Market implies growth of iThe yearly free-cash-flow growth, for the next 10 years, that today’s share price already assumes. If you believe the company grows faster than this, the stock is cheap under this model; slower, and it is expensive.

+2.8% for 10 yrs

Fair value / share

$604.94

Buy below

$453.70

Price vs fair value

Undervalued 39%

Price vs buy-below price

Undervalued 18%

Official channels

The company's own website and social media accounts.

Read between the lines

  1. Figure

    Core operating income reached $8.6 billion and core operating EPS was $2194 for the first nine months of the year, increasing by 21% and 24.5% respectively from last year.

    Source quote
    “From a more meaningful perspective, looking to the first nine months of the year, core operating income was $8.6 billion, up 21% from the prior year, and core operating EPS was $2194, up 24.5% from last year.”
  2. Guidance

    The company maintains its forecast for the core operating effective tax rate for the full year to be in the range of 19.5% to 20%.

  3. Figure

    Adjusted net investment income reached a record $1.89 billion due to a materially improved fixed income investment environment and record cash flows.

    Source quote
    “On the investment side of our business, adjusted net investment income was a record $1.89 billion, supported by a materially improved fixed income investment environment and record cash flows.”
  4. Figure

    Premiums and deposits in the international life insurance business rose over 15.5% during the quarter.

    Source quote
    “In our international life insurance business, premiums and deposits rose over 15.5%.”
  5. Figure

    The company reported a book value of $73 billion and a record $12.8 billion in adjusted operating cash flow over the last nine months to demonstrate a financially strong position.

    Source quote
    “We continue to effectively manage our balance sheet and remain in a financially strong position with book value of $73 billion and excellent liquidity as evidenced by a record $12.8 billion in adjusted operating cash flow over the last nine months.”
3 more
  1. Figure

    The company returned 1.6 billion in capital to shareholders for the quarter, consisting of 1.2 billion in share repurchases and 393 million in dividends.

    Source quote
    “For the quarter, we've returned 1.6 billion of capital to shareholders, including 1.2 billion in share repurchases at an average price of $344.32 and $393 million in dividends.”
  2. Figure

    Adjusting for an 8% impact, net written premium production was 10.5% on a comparable basis, which the company considers to be at a normal level.

    Source quote
    “The impact is approximately 8%, so the production really is more like 10.5% on a comparable basis for net written premium, which we think is more at a normal level.”
  3. Key theme

    The company expects to generate strong growth in operating earnings, EPS, and double-digit growth in tangible book value over the medium term.

    Source quote
    “CATS and FX aside, as I look out over the medium term, I am confident in our ability to continue to outperform and to generate strong growth in operating earnings and EPS, and most important, double-digit growth in tangible book value.”

Tone

How upbeat the language was, compared with other companiesiTone counts positive minus negative finance words, adjusted for length. Executives mostly speak positively, so the labels compare each call with every company's latest call: “typical” is the middle third, “very upbeat” the top tenth, “cautious” the bottom tenth.. Dot: Q3 2026. Ring: Q1 2026.

Prepared remarks Typical (was typical)
Answers to analysts Restrained (was cautious)

Script and answers carried a similar tone, so the script's message held up under questioning.

Sentences that drove the tone
“In sum, our global diversification, our presence and capabilities globally, our large and growing invested asset, along with rising interest rates, and our operating discipline provide us with strong margins,...”
“CATS and FX aside, as I look out over the medium term, I am confident in our ability to continue to outperform and to generate strong growth in operating earnings...”
“This pattern of growth, again speaks to the breadth of our business and our diversified sources of growth and opportunity globally.”

Full figures

Q3 2026 figures are not available yet: the company files its quarterly report (10-Q) a few weeks after the call. This page compares what management said; the figures are added when the report is filed.

Topics

Most discussed now

  • New I can imagine best practices in management and governance of AI and agentics emerging quickly and evolving from there.
  • New Frankly, when you think beyond that, to assist business generally and add to greater certainty overall in the liability environment...
  • Annualized core operating return on tangible equity was 21.6 percent for the quarter and core operating ROE was 14.9 percent...
  • These distinguishing attributes have all contributed to a long record of sustainable and growing value creation.
  • Chubb's third quarter results were driven by strong underlying business performance and continued strength in its investment results.

Faded since Q1 2026

  • Fading However, the impact of the war adds a degree of pressure to certain financial, fiscal and economic stresses, such as...
  • Dropped The government wanted to support shipping through the Gulf and open when they think that the risk environment is such...
  • Fading Total company net premiums grew 10.7% for the quarter to more than $14 billion.
  • Fading It, again, is a similar product mix, which may be a bit more of term life built into it as...

Latest announcements

Official filings, newest first. Summaries are generated from each filing and its attachment; every figure is checked against the source.

  • Results of operations · SEC 8-K

    Chubb Limited reported net income of $2.84 billion for the third quarter, up 1.5% from the previous year, and core operating income of $2.98 billion, down 2.2% year over year.

  • Results of operations · SEC 8-K
  • Other events · SEC 8-K

    Chubb INA Holdings LLC agreed to sell C$400,000,000 of 3.780% Senior Notes due 2031 and C$400,000,000 of 4.034% Senior Notes due 2033 in a public offering.

  • Director or officer change; Articles or bylaws amended; Shareholder vote results · SEC 8-K

    Shareholders approved the 2016 Long-Term Incentive Plan and an amendment to Article 6 of the Articles of Association to renew the capital band for a period ending May 21, 2027.

  • Other events · SEC 8-K

    Chubb INA Holdings LLC agreed to sell $1,000,000,000 of 5.300% Senior Notes due 2036 on May 18, 2026, guaranteed by Chubb Limited.

  • Results of operations · SEC 8-K

    Chubb reported net income of $2.32 billion, up 74.3% year over year, and core operating income of $2.69 billion, up 80.6% compared to the first quarter of 2025.

  • Articles or bylaws amended · SEC 8-K · routine
  • Results of operations · SEC 8-K

    Chubb reported fourth-quarter net income of $3.21 billion, up 24.7% year-over-year, and full-year net income of $10.31 billion, up 11.2% compared to the previous year.

Balance sheet & ownership

From SEC filings; short interest is FINRA data via Yahoo. Collected 2026-10-25.

Cash & runway

Cash & equivalents

$2.29B

2023-06-30

Short-term investments

$2.83B

total $5.12B

Implied runway

—

operating cash flow positive over the TTM window

Dilution

weighted-average basic shares, per quarter. Change: -2.5% YoY.

QuarterShares
Q2 2024404.6M
Q3 2024403.8M
Q1 2025400.7M
Q2 2025399.9M
Q3 2025397.3M
Q1 2026390.5M

Insider transactions

Form 4 open-market trades (codes S/P), trailing 12 months. Coverage: newest 50 of 71 filings; 50 filings parsed.

Sold by insiders

53.4K shares

$17.8M · 10 transactions

Bought by insiders

0 shares

0 transactions

Net direction

net selling

Catalyst calendar

management-stated targets — from the latest earnings call; plans, not promises.

  1. the full year

    core operating effective tax rate

    Source quote
    “We continue to expect our core operating effective tax rate for the full year to be in the range of 19.5% to 20%.”