AIZ US S&P 500Russell 1000 Earnings call · transcribed from the recording
Assurant (AIZ) · Q3 2026 results and valuation
Share price: $323.38 · 2026-11-11
Results Q3 2026 vs Q2 2026 · previous quarter · published 3 Nov 2026 and 5 Aug 2026
Net income down 7.8% on the previous quarter, guidance raised. Management sounded very upbeat, though noticeably less so answering analysts.
Only a basic analysis is available for this company at the moment.
1 · Numbers
−7.8%
Net income vs Q2 2026
Guidance raised
Net income 275.2M vs 298.6M
Revenue +2.2%
2 · How management spoke
Very upbeat
Among the most upbeat of all company calls
Answers to analysts: very upbeat, but clearly less so than the script.
Similar to last call.
3 · What stood out
Figure
Within Connected Living, earnings grew 23% year-to-date, reflecting expansion with existing clients and continued optimization of recently added…
Valuation
Is Assurant undervalued?
Reverse DCF on net income from the last full fiscal year (no meaningful free cash flow: a bank, insurer or a year of negative cash flow) (2025-12-31), grown for 10 years, discounted back, plus a terminal value. “Implied growth” is the rate the current price assumes.
At 7.9% growth a year (3-year revenue growth), the model's fair value is $356.34 a share — the stock trades 9% below it. Today's price assumes 6.6% growth a year.
Current price
$323.38
close of 2026-11-11
Market implies growth of iThe yearly free-cash-flow growth, for the next 10 years, that today’s share price already assumes. If you believe the company grows faster than this, the stock is cheap under this model; slower, and it is expensive.
+6.6% for 10 yrs
Fair value / share
$356.34
Buy below
$267.26
Price vs fair value
Undervalued 9%
Price vs buy-below price
Overvalued 21%
Read between the lines
-
Guidance
I think Assurant feels really good about its outlook going forward On balance, very steady and very stable. And then layer on top of that, obviously, 2.6 million loans that will build over the next 12 months in terms of policies, and that will give us a nice opportunity to continue to drive growth.
-
Guidance ↑
I'll turn it over to Keith Meyer to discuss third quarter results and Assurant's increased outlook for 2026.
Tone
How upbeat the language was, compared with other companiesiTone counts positive minus negative finance words, adjusted for length. Executives mostly speak positively, so the labels compare each call with every company's latest call: “typical” is the middle third, “very upbeat” the top tenth, “cautious” the bottom tenth.. Dot: Q3 2026. Ring: Q2 2026.
Management sounded noticeably less positive answering analysts than in its prepared script — a bigger drop than in 85% of calls. Scripts are polished in advance; a drop under questioning often marks the topics analysts pressed on, so the answers deserve a closer read than the script.
Sentences that drove the tone
“As we execute on our 10th consecutive year of profitable growth, I'm incredibly proud of our performance so far in 2026, which comes on the heels of three consecutive years...”
“Cover360 remains an important growth platform for our renters' business, driving improved penetration, a more favorable product mix, and stronger customer engagement, all of which support double-digit premium growth across...”
“We continue to see strong momentum across our growing commercial equipment and lease and finance business, expanding distribution through new OEM, dealer and lending partnerships.”
Full figures
USD · SEC EDGAR XBRL (10-Q, period end 2026-09-30)
| Metric | Q3 2026period end 2026-09-30 | Q2 2026period end 2026-06-30 | Change | Q3 2025 | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 3.53B | 3.45B | +2.2% | 3.23B | +9.2% |
| Operating income | 350.4M | 376.9M | −7.0% | 331.2M | +5.8% |
| Net income | 275.2M | 298.6M | −7.8% | 265.6M | +3.6% |
| EPS | 5.49 | 5.95 | −7.7% | 5.17 | +6.2% |
| P/E today 14.5 | 12.4 | 12.9 | −0.5 | 13.2 | −0.8 |
Topics
Most discussed now
- As Assurant approaches the end of 2026, it is well positioned to deliver its 10th consecutive year of profitable earnings...
- Year to date, earnings increased 18%, driven by growth in both Connected Living and Global Automotive.
- Assurant has got really lofty ambitions for how it thinks about connected living broadly.
- I do think 2026 is benefiting from a lot of those big programs moving towards scale.
- Assurant is starting from a really strong position as it thinks about growth into 2027.
Faded since Q2 2026
- Dropped In a dynamic operating environment, Assurant continues to deliver as Assurant balances near-term execution with long-term investments…
- Dropped Assurant is not seeing the escalation of growth in placement rate as a result of the voluntary market challenges.
- Fading At the same time, Assurant is maintaining its disciplined approach to capital allocation, returning excess capital to shareholders while…
- Fading Through the first 6 months of 2026, Assurant generated 12% adjusted EBITDA growth and 14% adjusted EPS growth, both excluding...
Latest announcements
Official filings, newest first.
- Results of operations · SEC 8-K
- Results of operations · SEC 8-K
- Director or officer change; Shareholder vote results · SEC 8-K
- Results of operations · SEC 8-K
- Results of operations · SEC 8-K
- Director or officer change · SEC 8-K
- Results of operations · SEC 8-K
- Other events · SEC 8-K