XEL US S&P 500NASDAQ-100Russell 1000 Earnings call
Xcel Energy (XEL) · Q2 2026 results and valuation
Share price: $81.10 · 2026-11-11
Xcel Energy is a regulated electric utility and natural gas delivery company. It provides electricity and natural gas to customers across parts of eight states in the United States. Source: Wikipedia
Results Q2 2026 vs Q1 2026 · previous quarter · published 30 Jul 2026 and 30 Apr 2026
Net income up 5.4% on the previous quarter. Management sounded about as positive as a typical company call, in its script and in answers to analysts.
1 · Numbers
+5.4%
Net income vs Q1 2026
Outlook given
Net income 586.0M vs 556.0M
Revenue −22.4%
Why Against the same quarter last year (+32.0%), net income rose primarily because higher electric revenues from nonfuel riders and sales growth added $0.17 per share, while lower depreciation and amortization added $0.08 per share and other items added $0.03 per share.
2 · How management spoke
Typical
Less upbeat than 60% of company calls
Answers to analysts: typical, in line with the script.
Similar to last call.
3 · What stood out
Xcel Energy has 1 gigawatt of data centers in operation or under construction and expects to secure an additional 4 gigawatts of data center load by year-end 2027.
Valuation
Is Xcel Energy undervalued?
Reverse DCF on net income from the last full fiscal year (no meaningful free cash flow: a bank, insurer or a year of negative cash flow) (2025-12-31), grown for 10 years, discounted back, plus a terminal value. “Implied growth” is the rate the current price assumes.
At −1.4% growth a year (3-year revenue growth), the model's fair value is $17.30 a share — the stock trades 369% above it. Today's price assumes 13.3% growth a year.
Current price
$81.10
close of 2026-11-11
Market implies growth of iThe yearly free-cash-flow growth, for the next 10 years, that today’s share price already assumes. If you believe the company grows faster than this, the stock is cheap under this model; slower, and it is expensive.
+13.3% for 10 yrs
Fair value / share
$17.30
Buy below
$12.98
Price vs fair value
Overvalued >200%
Price vs buy-below price
Overvalued >200%
Read between the lines
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Figure
XEL reported second quarter earnings of $0.93 per share.
Source quote
“And finally, we delivered for our investors with strong second quarter earnings of $0.93 per share.”
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Figure
SPS was selected to provide 2,400 megawatts of renewables and 200 megawatts of natural gas-fired generation, representing 70% of the portfolio and a $6 billion investment in Texas and New Mexico.
Source quote
“SPS was selected to provide 2,400 megawatts of renewables and 200 megawatts of natural gas-fired generation, representing 70% of the overall portfolio and approximately $6 billion of investment that supports continued economic growth in Texas and New Mexico.”
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Guidance
XEL added 3 gigawatts of data center demand to its target plan to address growing customer needs through new generation RFPs and transmission investments.
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Guidance
XEL expects to secure an additional 4 gigawatts of data center load by year-end 2027, which includes at least 1 gigawatt by the end of this year.
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Figure
XEL reported a line of sight of $10-plus billion for the quarter.
Source quote
“We just simply say $10-plus billion in terms of our line of sight.”
4 more
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Guidance
XEL plans to file a new wildfire plan with the commission in early 2027 to outline post-investment cycle actions based on lessons learned from the current season.
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Key theme
The base plan includes very little data center growth, meaning any additional growth in that sector represents potential upside for the long term.
Source quote
“Our base plan has very little data center growth baked into it. So that is all potential upside is how we think about longer term.”
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Key theme
The company stated it does not see a need in its resource plans for new nuclear in the near term.
Source quote
“We don't see a need in our resource plans for new nuclear in the near term.”
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Key theme
XEL is working on and will be filing in Texas and New Mexico.
Source quote
“We're also working and will be filing in Texas and New Mexico.”
Tone
How upbeat the language was, compared with other companiesiTone counts positive minus negative finance words, adjusted for length. Executives mostly speak positively, so the labels compare each call with every company's latest call: “typical” is the middle third, “very upbeat” the top tenth, “cautious” the bottom tenth.. Dot: Q2 2026. Ring: Q1 2026.
Script and answers carried a similar tone, so the script's message held up under questioning.
Sentences that drove the tone
“Over the past 2 decades, Xcel Energy has reduced carbon emissions nearly 60%, reduced water consumption more than 35% and enabled nearly 14,000 megawatts of wind and solar in our...”
“We remain confident in our ability to deliver 6% to 8-plus percent long-term earnings growth with line of sight to $10-plus billion of opportunities beyond our base plan, we expect...”
“And so we're pretty excited about that opportunity not only from a growth perspective for investors, but just an affordability benefit for our current customers as we think longer term.”
Full figures
USD · SEC EDGAR XBRL (10-Q, period end 2026-06-30)
| Metric | Q2 2026period end 2026-06-30 | Q1 2026period end 2026-03-31 | Change | Q2 2025 | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 3.12B | 4.02B | −22.4% | 3.29B | −5.1% |
| Operating income | 706.0M | 754.0M | −6.4% | 577.0M | +22.4% |
| Net income | 586.0M | 556.0M | +5.4% | 444.0M | +32.0% |
| EPS | 0.93 | 0.89 | +4.5% | 0.75 | +24.0% |
| P/E today 18.6 | 22.0 | 22.9 | −0.9 | 18.9 | +3.1 |
Topics
Most discussed now
- Xcel Energy has had great feedback, real customer benefits and think it will have its opportunity to put that in front I know...
- During the second quarter, Xcel Energy invested $3 billion and over $6 billion year-to-date in critical generation transmission and…
- Lower depreciation and amortization increased earnings by $0.08 per share and other items combined to increase earnings by $0.03 per...
- The most significant earnings drivers for the quarter are as follows: higher electric revenues due to nonfuel riders and sales...
- Offsetting these positive drivers, higher interest expense decreased earnings by $0.12 per share and the impacts of common equity…
Faded since Q1 2026
- Fading In April, Xcel Energy also reached a definitive non-exclusive agreement on its previously announced MoU with NextEra Energy to co-develop…
- Fading When Xcel Energy thinks about moving forward, its clean energy policies and priorities and meeting its state objectives that gives it...
- Fading That's, again, looking 4,000-plus megawatts renewable generation storage by 2030.
Latest announcements
Official filings, newest first. Summaries are generated from each filing and its attachment; every figure is checked against the source.
- New financial obligation; Unregistered share sale · SEC 8-K
- Other events · SEC 8-K
- Other events · SEC 8-K
- Other events · SEC 8-K
- Results of operations · SEC 8-K
- Other events · SEC 8-K
Northern States Power Company filed an Electric Customer Rate Stability Plan for 2027 and 2028, which includes a base rate freeze and accelerated recognition of federal Investment Tax Credit benefits for five battery storage projects.
- Other events · SEC 8-K
In November 2025, PSCo filed an electric rate case seeking a revenue increase of $356 million (9.9%) based on a 9.8% ROE and a projected rate base of $13 billion.
- Results of operations · SEC 8-K
Xcel Energy released its second quarter 2026 earnings results on July 30, 2026.
Balance sheet & ownership
From SEC filings; short interest is FINRA data via Yahoo. Collected 2026-10-11.
Cash & runway
Cash & equivalents
$2.01B
2026-06-30
Implied runway
—
operating cash flow positive over the TTM window
Dilution
weighted-average basic shares, per quarter. Change: +6.7% YoY, +0.2% QoQ.
| Quarter | Shares |
|---|---|
| Q3 2024 | 564.0M |
| Q1 2025 | 575.0M |
| Q2 2025 | 586.0M |
| Q3 2025 | 592.0M |
| Q1 2026 | 624.0M |
| Q2 2026 | 625.0M |
Shares outstanding: 624.6M (2026-07-28)
Insider transactions
Form 4 open-market trades (codes S/P), trailing 12 months. Coverage: newest 50 of 52 filings; 50 filings parsed.
Sold by insiders
16.8K shares
$1.4M · 2 transactions
Bought by insiders
0 shares
0 transactions
Net direction
net selling
Catalyst calendar
management-stated targets — from the latest earnings call; plans, not promises.
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well into the 2030s
delivery of projects for customers
Source quote
“These partnerships help ensure that we have access to the labor and equipment capacity that we need to deliver with certainty for our customers well into the 2030s.”
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by year-end 2027
secure an additional 4 gigawatts of data center load
Source quote
“and we expect to secure an additional 4 gigawatts of data center load by year-end 2027, including at least 1 gigawatt by the end of this year.”
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For 2026
weather-adjusted electric sales to increase 3%
Source quote
“For 2026, we remain on track for full year weather-adjusted electric sales to increase 3%.”
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2026
ongoing EPS guidance range of $4.04 to $4.16
Source quote
“We are reaffirming our 2026 ongoing EPS guidance range of $4.04 to $4.16.”
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through 2030
deliver 9-plus percent EPS growth on average
Source quote
“we expect to deliver 9-plus percent EPS growth on average through 2030.”