GEV US S&P 500Russell 1000 Earnings call
GE Vernova (GEV) · Q2 2026 results and valuation
Share price: $808.24 · 2026-11-11
GE Vernova provides products and services for the electric power industry, including technologies for power generation, wind energy, and electrification. The company serves utilities, industrial customers, and governments globally to manage and distribute electricity. It operates in international markets to support the transition to a more sustainable power system. Source: 10-K annual report (2026-01-29)
Results Q2 2026 vs Q1 2026 · previous quarter · published 22 Jul 2026 and 22 Apr 2026
Net income down 85.9% on the previous quarter. Management sounded upbeat, though noticeably less so answering analysts.
1 · Numbers
−85.9%
Net income vs Q1 2026
Outlook given
Net income 668.0M vs 4.75B
Revenue +18.9%
Against the same quarter last year (Q2 2025) it is +30.0%, so the move on last quarter looks seasonal or timing-related rather than a trend.
Why Against the same quarter last year (+30.0%), net income rose because EBITDA margins expanded 320 basis points due to favorable price and higher volume, which more than offset inflation and additional expenses for capacity investments and R&D.
2 · How management spoke
Upbeat
More upbeat than 83% of company calls
Answers to analysts: restrained, but clearly less so than the script.
Similar to last call.
3 · What stood out
GE Vernova increased its 2026 free cash flow guidance to $11.5 billion to $12.5 billion from $6.5 billion to $7.5 billion due to stronger orders, down payments, and higher adjusted EBITDA.
Valuation
Is GE Vernova undervalued?
Reverse DCF. Free cash flow from the last full fiscal year (2025-12-31), grown for 10 years, discounted back, plus a terminal value. “Implied growth” is the rate the current price assumes.
At 8.7% growth a year (3-year revenue growth), the model's fair value is $288.27 a share — the stock trades 180% above it. Today's price assumes 22.4% growth a year.
Current price
$808.24
close of 2026-11-11
Market implies growth of iThe yearly free-cash-flow growth, for the next 10 years, that today’s share price already assumes. If you believe the company grows faster than this, the stock is cheap under this model; slower, and it is expensive.
+22.4% for 10 yrs
Fair value / share
$288.27
Buy below
$216.20
Price vs fair value
Overvalued 180%
Price vs buy-below price
Overvalued >200%
Read between the lines
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Guidance
The revenue guidance was raised by $1 billion to a range of $45.5 billion-$46.5 billion due to additional growth at Electrification and Power.
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Key theme
GEV expects 2026 EBITDA losses of approximately $400 million because growth in offshore wind and onshore wind services offset lower onshore equipment volume.
Source quote
“We still expect EBITDA losses to be approximately $400 million in 2026, as improvement in onshore wind services and offshore wind offset the lower onshore equipment volume.”
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Figure
GEV anticipates 17%-19% revenue growth driven by higher equipment shipments for gas power and continued higher services.
Source quote
“We also anticipate 17%-19% revenue growth driven by higher equipment as we increase our annualized run rate for gas power equipment shipments and continued higher services.”
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Guidance
GEV increased its 2026 free cash flow guidance to $11.5 billion to $12.5 billion from $6.5 billion to $7.5 billion due to stronger orders, down payments, and higher adjusted EBITDA.
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Guidance
GEV expects at least 125 gigawatts under contract by the end of the year.
4 more
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Figure
Margins grew to 10.5% in the first half of 2026, up 360 basis points from the first half of 2025, despite equipment revenue growing faster than services.
Source quote
“In the first half of 2026, we have grown margins to 10.5%, up 360 basis points from the first half of 2025, even as equipment revenue grows faster than services and becomes a larger percentage of total revenue.”
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Figure
Adjusted EBITDA grew 61% year-over-year to $1.2 billion, driven by Power and Electrification.
Source quote
“Adjusted EBITDA grew 61% year-over-year to $1.2 billion, led by Power and Electrification.”
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Figure
Adjusted EBITDA and working capital management drove $5.1 billion of free cash flow in the second quarter.
Source quote
“The strong adjusted EBITDA and working capital management drove $5.1 billion of free cash flow in the second quarter.”
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Figure
Electrification equipment orders outpaced revenue to increase the equipment backlog to $41 billion, which is up 69%, or roughly $17 billion, compared to the second quarter of 2025.
Source quote
“Electrification equipment orders continued outpacing revenue and further increased our equipment backlog to $41 billion, up 69%, or roughly $17 billion compared to the second quarter of 2025.”
Tone
How upbeat the language was, compared with other companiesiTone counts positive minus negative finance words, adjusted for length. Executives mostly speak positively, so the labels compare each call with every company's latest call: “typical” is the middle third, “very upbeat” the top tenth, “cautious” the bottom tenth.. Dot: Q2 2026. Ring: Q1 2026.
Management sounded noticeably less positive answering analysts than in its prepared script — a bigger drop than in 92% of calls. Scripts are polished in advance; a drop under questioning often marks the topics analysts pressed on, so the answers deserve a closer read than the script.
Sentences that drove the tone
“Turning to Power on Slide 6, the segment delivered another strong quarter with robust demand, strong revenue growth, and solid EBITDA margin expansion.”
“Turning to slide five, we delivered strong results in 2Q 2026 with robust orders, growing backlog and revenues, margin expansion, and significant free cash flow generation.”
“With our strong cash position, we'll continue to seek opportunities to utilize cash proactively when those opportunities generate solid economic returns.”
Full figures
USD · SEC EDGAR XBRL (10-Q, period end 2026-06-30)
| Metric | Q2 2026period end 2026-06-30 | Q1 2026period end 2026-03-31 | Change | Q2 2025 | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 11.10B | 9.34B | +18.9% | 9.11B | +21.9% |
| Gross profit | 2.36B | 1.78B | +32.5% | 1.85B | +27.8% |
| Operating income | 653.0M | 179.0M | +264.8% | 378.0M | +72.8% |
| Net income | 668.0M | 4.75B | −85.9% | 514.0M | +30.0% |
| EPS | 2.47 | 17.44 | −85.8% | 1.86 | +32.8% |
| P/E today 20.3 | 33.7 | 25.5 | +8.2 | 128.1 | −94.4 |
Topics
Most discussed now
- GE Vernova justs closed on the Robotech Automation acquisition in July, and it is making real progress with automation into its factories...
- A lot of this comes down to how many years out are customers ready to contract, and also, from peak...
- In power, GE Vernova continues to see strong global demand for its equipment and services.
- Equipment backlog margins remain healthy, reflecting favorable price and GE Vernova's continued focus on disciplined underwriting.
- This includes investing in capacity expansions to meet growing demand from GE Vernova's customers, investing in R&D, robotics and AI to...
Faded since Q1 2026
- Fading As the opportunity for it to serve this growing market expands, GE Vernova's humility and hunger to meet this moment only...
- Fading When you take a step back—and it is why GE Vernova has invested real money into the EMS solution—when you are...
- Fading GE Vernova is making progress with a stability block solution that complements what it is doing—that is an MV UPS solution,...
- Fading I have seen—and GE Vernova has been iterating with its customers on—some of what you could be citing in the press...
Latest announcements
Official filings, newest first. Summaries are generated from each filing and its attachment; every figure is checked against the source.
- Results of operations · SEC 8-K
- Director or officer change · SEC 8-K
Claire McDonough will succeed Kenneth Parks as Chief Financial Officer of GE Vernova on January 1, 2027, with a base salary of $1,000,000 and a target LTIP equity award of $5,225,000.
- Results of operations · SEC 8-K
GE Vernova Inc. released its second-quarter 2026 financial results on July 22, 2026, as detailed in the attached Exhibit 99.
- Shareholder vote results · SEC 8-K · routine
- Results of operations · SEC 8-K
GE Vernova Inc. released its first-quarter 2026 financial results on April 22, 2026, as detailed in the attached Exhibit 99.
- Other events · SEC 8-K
- Results of operations · SEC 8-K
GE Vernova Inc. released its fourth-quarter 2025 financial results on January 28, 2026, as detailed in the attached Exhibit 99.
- Director or officer change · SEC 8-K
Mavi Zingoni resigned as CEO of the Power Segment effective January 21, 2026, and Eric Gray was appointed to the role on the same date.
Balance sheet & ownership
From SEC filings; short interest is FINRA data via Yahoo. Collected 2026-10-11.
Dilution
weighted-average basic shares, per quarter. Change: -1.5% YoY, -0.4% QoQ.
| Quarter | Shares |
|---|---|
| Q3 2024 | 275.0M |
| Q1 2025 | 275.0M |
| Q2 2025 | 272.0M |
| Q3 2025 | 272.0M |
| Q1 2026 | 269.0M |
| Q2 2026 | 268.0M |
Shares outstanding: 266.3M (2026-06-30)
Insider transactions
Form 4 open-market trades (codes S/P), trailing 12 months. 31 filings parsed.
Sold by insiders
12.5K shares
$11.5M · 3 transactions
Bought by insiders
0 shares
0 transactions
Net direction
net selling
Catalyst calendar
management-stated targets — from the latest earnings call; plans, not promises.
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2027
total backlog to reach $200 billion
Source quote
“This is up $13 billion from last quarter and is on track to reach $200 billion in 2027.”
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the next decade
units expected to run base load and provide substantial services growth
Source quote
“More than half of the gigawatts that are now under contract are for our largest, most efficient HA turbines, units expected to run base load and provide substantial services growth for us in the next decade.”
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by the end of the year
expect at least 125 gigawatts under contract
Source quote
“We now expect at least 125 gigawatts under contract by the end of the year.”
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into 2031
agreements signed
Source quote
“We had a strong first half and now have agreements signed into 2031.”
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In the second half of the year
expect to convert many of these SRAs into orders
Source quote
“In the second half of the year, we expect to convert many of these SRAs into orders, driving continued growth in our backlog while achieving an important inflection point with gigawatts and backlog greater than SRAs.”