CSGP US S&P 500Russell 1000 Earnings call · transcribed from the recording

CoStar Group (CSGP) · Q3 2026 results and valuation

Share price: $30.27 · 2026-11-11

CoStar Group provides online real estate marketplaces, information, analytics, and 3D digital twin technology. The company serves real estate professionals and consumers across the United States, Australia, Europe, Canada, and the Asia-Pacific region. Source: 10-K annual report (2026-02-26)

Results Q3 2026 vs Q2 2026 · previous quarter · published 27 Oct 2026 and 28 Jul 2026

Net income up 34.5% on the previous quarter. Management sounded about as positive as a typical company call, in its script and in answers to analysts.

1 · Numbers

+34.5%

Net income vs Q2 2026

Outlook given

Net income 74.0M vs 55.0M

Revenue +2.9%

2 · How management spoke

Typical

Less upbeat than 55% of company calls

Answers to analysts: upbeat, in line with the script.

Similar to last call.

3 · What stood out

CoStar Group raised its full-year adjusted EBIT guidance to a midpoint of $830 million, which is 24% above the $672 million record.

Valuation

Is CoStar Group undervalued?

Reverse DCF. Free cash flow from the last full fiscal year (2025-12-31), grown for 10 years, discounted back, plus a terminal value. “Implied growth” is the rate the current price assumes.

At 14.2% growth a year (3-year revenue growth), the model's fair value is $10.43 a share — the stock trades 190% above it. Today's price assumes 29.5% growth a year.

Current price

$30.27

close of 2026-11-11

Market implies growth of iThe yearly free-cash-flow growth, for the next 10 years, that today’s share price already assumes. If you believe the company grows faster than this, the stock is cheap under this model; slower, and it is expensive.

+29.5% for 10 yrs

Fair value / share

$10.43

Buy below

$7.82

Price vs fair value

Overvalued 190%

Price vs buy-below price

Overvalued >200%

Official channels

The company's own website and social media accounts.

Read between the lines

  1. Guidance

    The company raised its full-year adjusted EBIT guidance to a midpoint of $830 million due to savings and the inclusion of Zonda, which is 24% above the $672 million record.

  2. Guidance

    The company expects to reach its adjusted EBITDA target of $1.25 billion in 2028 due to realized savings.

  3. Figure

    The company delivered a record quarterly adjusted EBITDA of $229 million, which doubled the prior year and surpassed the previous record of $193 million from Q4 2021.

    Source quote
    “More importantly, we delivered record quarterly adjusted EBITDA of $229 million, double the prior year and surpassing the previous record of $193 million from Q4 2021.”
  4. Figure

    Residential revenue grew 23 percent year-over-year to $460 million in Q3.

    Source quote
    “Residential revenue was $460 million in Q3, up 23 percent year-over-year.”
  5. Figure

    Since Q1 23, apartments.com revenue has grown by 53% while the sales team has grown by only 21% and is down this year.

    Source quote
    “Since Q1 23, apartments.com revenue has grown by an impressive 53%, but the sales team has only grown 21% and is down this year.”
4 more
  1. Figure

    The average sales price increased 58% to $429 in October following the introduction of Platinum.

    Source quote
    “With the introduction of Platinum, the average sales price increased 58% in October to $429.”
  2. Figure

    Vexcel generated roughly $140 million in revenue over the last 12 months from multi-year data contracts growing more than 30% with an adjusted EBITDA margin of around 20%.

    Source quote
    “Vexcel is a strong business with roughly $140 million of revenue in the last 12 months, growing more than 30% on reoccurring multi-year data contracts, and profitable with an adjusted EBITDA margin of around 20%.”
  3. Guidance

    The company is focusing on short-term improvements to be realized over the next 12 to 18 months to provide confidence in reconfirming their targets.

  4. Figure

    CSGP can now update all 6.7 million tenant locations every year instead of just a small percentage by using tenant AI agents to combine proprietary research with other sources.

    Source quote
    “Our tenant AI agents combined four decades of proprietary property level and ground truth from our field researchers with thousands of other sources, so we can now update all 6.7 million tenant locations every year instead of just updating a small percentage.”

Tone

How upbeat the language was, compared with other companiesiTone counts positive minus negative finance words, adjusted for length. Executives mostly speak positively, so the labels compare each call with every company's latest call: “typical” is the middle third, “very upbeat” the top tenth, “cautious” the bottom tenth.. Dot: Q3 2026. Ring: Q2 2026.

Prepared remarks Typical (was upbeat)
Answers to analysts Upbeat (was restrained)

Script and answers carried a similar tone, so the script's message held up under questioning.

Sentences that drove the tone
“BizBuySell's Q3 net new subscription revenue grew 282% year-over-year, driven by strong supply-side demand and membership increased 23 percent to a record level.”
“Our renewal rates remained high, but with a growing multi-billion-dollar subscription base, we need to continue to grow high ROI Salesforce headcount.”
“The decline was concentrated in residential as a challenging economic environment compounded by insufficient sales capacity impacted apartments.com and homes.com bookings moderated following the sales force reduction earlier this year.”

Full figures

USD · SEC EDGAR XBRL (10-Q, period end 2026-09-30)

Metric Q3 2026period end 2026-09-30 Q2 2026period end 2026-06-30 Change Q3 2025 YoY
Revenue 952.0M 925.0M +2.9% 834.0M +14.1%
Gross profit 741.0M 728.0M +1.8% 662.0M +11.9%
Operating income 84.0M 76.0M +10.5% -51.0M Turned profit
Net income 74.0M 55.0M +34.5% -31.0M Turned profit
EPS 0.18 0.14 +28.6% -0.07 Turned profit
P/E today 71.0 63.7 157.3 −93.6 1406.2 −1342.5

Topics

Most discussed now

  • With apartments.com, I would imagine it's 80 some percent is in depth advertising.
  • New The way CoStar is now capturing corporate America using its proprietary property data and its ground truth inspection of the properties.
  • CoStar is generating strong margin expansion while simultaneously investing aggressively in high-potential future revenue drivers.
  • Land.com revenue grew 8% year-over-year, and annualized net new bookings increased 22%, driven by 44% growth in...
  • On the Market has delivered 29 consecutive months of positive net new bookings.

Faded since Q2 2026

  • Fading CoStar expects to deliver the highest full year adjusted EBITDA in CoStar Group's history in '26, and it is confirming its...
  • Fading CoStar's perceived competitors sell are basically lead brokers, which is very different.
  • Fading No one else is providing marketing listings the way CoStar does.
  • Fading There is not a material cost differential between the folks in a centralized and in the field.

Latest announcements

Official filings, newest first. Summaries are generated from each filing and its attachment; every figure is checked against the source.

Balance sheet & ownership

From SEC filings; short interest is FINRA data via Yahoo. Collected 2026-10-29.

Cash & runway

Cash & equivalents

$500.0M

2026-09-30

Short-term investments

$1.2M

total $501.2M

Implied runway

—

operating cash flow positive over the TTM window

Dilution

weighted-average basic shares, per quarter. Change: -4.4% YoY, -0.6% QoQ.

QuarterShares
Q1 2025410.5M
Q2 2025419.6M
Q3 2025419.9M
Q1 2026413.0M
Q2 2026404.1M
Q3 2026401.6M

Shares outstanding: 402.3M (2026-10-26)

Insider transactions

Form 4 open-market trades (codes S/P), trailing 12 months. 49 filings parsed.

Sold by insiders

12.4K shares

$534.3K · 4 transactions

Bought by insiders

232.4K shares

$8.5M · 7 transactions

Net direction

net buying

Catalyst calendar

management-stated targets — from the latest earnings call; plans, not promises.

  1. 2028

    adjusted EBITDA target

    Source quote
    “This time is no different, and we remain firmly committed to our adjusted EBITDA target of $1.25 billion in 2028.”
  2. next 12 to 18 months

    realize the additional $200 million in cost efficiency

    Source quote
    “That's incremental to the $150 million we expect to save this year, which we expect to realize the additional $200 million over the next 12 to 18 months while continuing to invest in future revenue drivers.”
  3. within the next two weeks

    publicly announce the appointment of a new, highly qualified CHRO

    Source quote
    “We expect to publicly announce the appointment of a new, highly qualified CHRO within the next two weeks.”
  4. 2027

    re-accelerate Salesforce growth

    Source quote
    “We expect to re-accelerate Salesforce growth in 2027 to serve our growing customer base and reach our prospect opportunities.”
  5. by year-end

    returning to Q4 2025 levels

    Source quote
    “We anticipate returning to Q4 2025 levels by year-end.”